Oddacious


Collecting my notes on sports analytics and other assorted topics

Predicting NHL goalies with scikit-learn

Code and tutorial on how I modeled goalies

Predicting goaltender performance is hard. Goalies are subject to the whims of the gods and the players in front of them, whichever is least merciful.

How to be a little wrong everywhere

NHL skater and goalie projections 2016-17

So there you have it, some no-holds-barred nothing-to-hide projections. Full tables are in my github link. I'll use them as a starting point, but by no means an ending point, on my opinions and pool draft this year.

In which Pew spews and The Atlantic eats it

Please critique rather than regurgitate

The point I want to make is that attending church more often in the past, and attending church less often in the past, are not mutually exclusive

In which there are other ways for Trump to exit

The Upshot avoids discussing awkward scenarios

Even if your opinion is that this is highly unlikely (or a distasteful thing to bet on), that doesn't mean that others feel the same way.

In which a correlation test is not enough

538 could have made a better case against intra-team balance

The details that are needed to have an intelligent opinion on the matter simply are not present. I don't know whether the claim is right or wrong, but this doesn't bring me any closer to that.

Ranking playoff goalies

The best and worst goalie playoffs of the last decade

Okay, I know you've been waiting for it, let's get to the worst goalie performances in the last decade. Prepare yourselves, this is gonna be ugly.

Man Down

Should we consider shorthanded stats when evaluating goalies?

For anyone hoping that this post has some connection with the Rihanna song, let me just send you to the Youtube link now and we can avoid some impending disappointment.

30 days in San Francisco's Mission, in living colour

A visual tour of my first month in SF

My vantage point has to begin with the Mission, the geographic and social centre of my experience thus far. This is where I live, the focal point from which I visit the rest of the city and region.

Woops, I hijacked your Venmo account

A worrisome oversight in Venmo authentication

Venmo advises that 'if you have a Venmo account, we'll send you a password reset link that you can use to sign into Venmo!' The first six words are redundant.

And the winner is...

Hockey Pool Part 4: Season wrap-up

For a long time I was further ahead of second place than second was from last. That gave me the freedom to play patiently. But even I knew it would end. Good luck is dangerous, when it balances out with bad.